The asset will not go below zero, so your maximum return is the share price you received initially when you shorted VXX. If houses in KC go down by 8-10% per year and I am yielding that much unlevered, I am breaking even in NW – if deflation warps rents then I will make less $$ while the levered competition gets foreclosed. I’m seeing a lot more homes sit on the market here in San Francisco as well. My brother & I are beneficiaries. The market is discounting a lot of recovery and a quick recovery in 2H2020. With that, most people are risk averse. The reason assets often tank in downturns is the feeling that “this time is different” — that on the trailing end of probabilities there’s a small chance that things will tank and never recover.
The older we get, the less energy and risk tolerance we have. In other words, you must methodically sell off risk assets like stocks and real estate the longer we go in the cycle.It hurts to miss out on gains, but missing out on gains is the only way to not lose money. Further having a multi national stock is not as safe as 10 country specific stocks.
I’m worth about $2M, just 32 years of age, but live in an expensive city and going to start a family. I will keep the dividend payers, though.
The same thing has happened with the August 2019 sell-off Just beware that going long volatility for the long term is a losing proposition due to a thing called “decay.”The chart below is a 5-year history of the VXX. !Nick, have you read about bail-ins? He did not get credit but was blamed for increased national debt. :-)Thanks for this. I’m OK with investing this $300k chunk as a long term investment, but obviously don’t want to lose a huge chunk out the gate.Dont do it unless you actually know your in the money, people these days are quick “GIMME GIMME GIMME” they just take because its easier then to giveHad a quick question about decay and going long on the volatility VXX you mentioned.
What allows me to continue with my path is the simplicity of the plan. At least, my thinking is, you never lose a cent until you sell at the lower price… There’s always a recovery if you can wait… But I do fear that wait.
This book is even more interesting while learning bookkeeping or having learned it. Great comments.
Amid the current public health and economic crises, when the world is shifting dramatically and we are all learning and adapting to changes in daily life, people need wikiHow more than ever. loosening up as well with prices down YoY as well.
What this does is re-index your portfolio to a better path. I have no problem with taking a little risk every now and then but buy and hold, for the most part, has been good to me.I moved some money to the sidelines the week before last and I will want to get that money back into the market and catch some of the upside when things turn back around. We must also accept no longer making as much money in our businesses and in our jobs. Now it did come back…but it took a few years.
Having money sitting on the sidelines feels like it is burning a hole in my pocket!In the case of a market downturn, I can imagine myself going short the index with geared ETFs (ASX: BBOZ, ASX: BEAR) to take some profits on the way down as well as dollar cost average into the index after major falls.What is to stop a person from taking a short position on VXX and just keeping it open long term to make money on the structural decay?I’m not too experienced shorting other than buying put options a couple of times, but it seems like this can’t be allowed (although I don’t understand the mechanism…)Jordan volatility has been a very popular and crowded Trade over the years.
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